r/moderatepolitics Federal worker fired without due process 1d ago

News Article Iran stops negotiations with U.S., vows to 'completely' block Strait of Hormuz: State media

https://www.cnbc.com/2026/06/01/iran-us-negotiations-strait-of-hormuz.html

The article says Iran announced Monday it will cut off all negotiations with the U.S. and move to fully close the Strait of Hormuz, citing Israeli military operations in Lebanon as ceasefire violations. Tehran also threatened to activate the Bab el-Mandeb Strait chokepoint connecting the Red Sea to the Gulf of Aden. Oil prices jumped over 7 percent on the news.

The breakdown comes just days after Trump convened a Situation Room meeting to decide on a deal but left without making a decision. Trump posted on May 23 that a peace deal was "largely negotiated" and "Final aspects and details of the Deal are currently being discussed, and will be announced shortly." Both sides launched new attacks in the following days, and Israel escalated in Lebanon with Netanyahu ordering strikes on Hezbollah-controlled Beirut suburbs. Iran's foreign minister said the ceasefire applies to all fronts including Lebanon, and violations on one front constitute violations on all.

The Strait of Hormuz has been effectively choked off since the war began on February 28, with ship traffic far below the prewar level of 100+ vessels per day. About a fifth of global oil supplies passed through the strait before the conflict. Gas prices had come down some in recent weeks on deal optimism, but that appears to be evaporating. There are also concerns Iran could impose a tolling system on ships transiting the strait.

Trump posted on Truth Social that Iran "really wants to make a deal" and told critics to "just sit back and relax, it will all work out well in the end. It always does!"

If Iran really wants to make a deal why are they walking away form negotiations? If the US is winning this war, why are we suing for peace?

The answer is because Iran's strategy is working. Our president and the "secretary of war" who was confirmed by one vote are not reliable sources of information.

They have been preparing for this war for decades and they know how to win it. Choking off a fifth of global oil supply has driven U.S. gas prices up 50%, cratered Trump's approval ratings, and Republicans are openly panicking about the midterms. They know the situation trump has created is FUBAR and they know they're cooked in november. Iran doesn't need to win on the battlefield. They just need to hold out and make the economic pain unsustainable until the administration comes to terms.

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u/KentuckyFriedChingon Militant Centrist 1d ago

More war is just going to be bad for everyone. Imo, the U.S. can bankroll all of Israel's DEFENSIVE capabilities if it wants to (Iron Dome, radar, etc). Sure. Fine. Whatever. But we have really got to halt offensive weapons sales/donations, and make defensive aid contingent on Israel abstaining from attacking and settling their neighbors. There are too many dead kids for my taste, and the United States is partly to blame for giving Israel what it wants, when it wants it, with literally zero strings attached, for decades at this point.

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u/StrikingYam7724 21h ago

This whole "we can help them shoot rockets out of the air but not blow up the launch sites" is such a bonkers take, no other country on the planet is expected to do that. I guarantee you if some terrorists in Tiajuana started launching rockets at San Diego and the Mexican government didn't stop them, we'd start blowing stuff up in Tiajuana. And we'd be right to do it.

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u/Hour-Mud4227 18h ago

It’s not bonkers—it’s a way of aiding an ally so that you address a legitimate defensive concern of theirs (which Israel has) but distance yourself from that ally’s bad habit of offensive military overreach. (Which Israel also has)

I wish we could do the same with the Saudis, who aren’t acting much better than Israel in terms of what’s going on in Yemen, but the realities of the petrodollar unfortunately don’t make it possible. With Israel we have a choice, as they’re not a key socioeconomic dependency.

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u/StrikingYam7724 15h ago

If the defensive concern is legitimate then the strikes to remove the source of the rockets are legitimate. That's how war works for everyone else except Israel. They're the only ones expected to just shoot the rockets out of the air in perpetuity without doing anything about the launchers, and literally no one else would even try.

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u/Hour-Mud4227 7h ago

I don’t disagree they have a right to take out the rocket sites but they have to be more precise in doing so—more generally, Israel has shown a manifest lack of restraint in the broader counteroffensive, and this isn’t the first time. When you are the stronger, more developed power you have the burden of restraint, like it or not, and when you ignore it, it looks a lot like genocide, even if the motives aren’t genocidal. (I disagree with most Israel critics in that I don’t believe they are).

If a band of narcoterrorists bomb a building in El Paso, the U.S. has the right to respond and try to take out the offending slice of the cartel, but if the response is to carpet bomb the whole of Chihuahua into oblivion, it’s overreach, even if it achieves the U.S.’s military goal in the end.

u/KentuckyFriedChingon Militant Centrist 3h ago

Thank you, exactly. Israel has not limited itself to only taking out rocket sites unless "Rocket Site" is the name of numerous Gazan schools and hospitals that have been reduced to rubble.