r/moderatepolitics Federal worker fired without due process 1d ago

News Article Iran stops negotiations with U.S., vows to 'completely' block Strait of Hormuz: State media

https://www.cnbc.com/2026/06/01/iran-us-negotiations-strait-of-hormuz.html

The article says Iran announced Monday it will cut off all negotiations with the U.S. and move to fully close the Strait of Hormuz, citing Israeli military operations in Lebanon as ceasefire violations. Tehran also threatened to activate the Bab el-Mandeb Strait chokepoint connecting the Red Sea to the Gulf of Aden. Oil prices jumped over 7 percent on the news.

The breakdown comes just days after Trump convened a Situation Room meeting to decide on a deal but left without making a decision. Trump posted on May 23 that a peace deal was "largely negotiated" and "Final aspects and details of the Deal are currently being discussed, and will be announced shortly." Both sides launched new attacks in the following days, and Israel escalated in Lebanon with Netanyahu ordering strikes on Hezbollah-controlled Beirut suburbs. Iran's foreign minister said the ceasefire applies to all fronts including Lebanon, and violations on one front constitute violations on all.

The Strait of Hormuz has been effectively choked off since the war began on February 28, with ship traffic far below the prewar level of 100+ vessels per day. About a fifth of global oil supplies passed through the strait before the conflict. Gas prices had come down some in recent weeks on deal optimism, but that appears to be evaporating. There are also concerns Iran could impose a tolling system on ships transiting the strait.

Trump posted on Truth Social that Iran "really wants to make a deal" and told critics to "just sit back and relax, it will all work out well in the end. It always does!"

If Iran really wants to make a deal why are they walking away form negotiations? If the US is winning this war, why are we suing for peace?

The answer is because Iran's strategy is working. Our president and the "secretary of war" who was confirmed by one vote are not reliable sources of information.

They have been preparing for this war for decades and they know how to win it. Choking off a fifth of global oil supply has driven U.S. gas prices up 50%, cratered Trump's approval ratings, and Republicans are openly panicking about the midterms. They know the situation trump has created is FUBAR and they know they're cooked in november. Iran doesn't need to win on the battlefield. They just need to hold out and make the economic pain unsustainable until the administration comes to terms.

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u/albertnormandy 1d ago

By Thursday Trump will be saying that a deal is minutes away from being signed. By Saturday Iran will say “Not really”. By next Monday both sides will be pointing fingers at the other for the deal falling through. By Thursday…

All of this has happened before

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u/HavingNuclear 1d ago

You can tell they're full of shit because these leaks are always "We're just about to sign a deal where Iran gives us everything we want with no concessions!" I don't think our negotiators have come to grips with what a realistic end to the war actually looks like.

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u/jason_abacabb 1d ago

Unfortunately at this point it looks like Iran having a government that tilted significantly towards religious extremism (i mean... more than it was) and holding some amount of control over the straight.

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u/abqguardian 20h ago

Theres no outcome where Iran retains control of the strait. Thats something Trump and the Republicans cant allow

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u/xpis2 20h ago

Iran retaining control seems like the most likely outcome. They have a significant geographic advantage. How can that be beaten?

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u/abqguardian 20h ago

Theres no way Trump or other countries could allow that. That would begin a mass frenzy of other countries trying to take "control" of important international water and lane ways. If military action is needed till Iran relents, thats a much smaller price to pay

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u/Another-attempt42 12h ago

And what if Iran doesn't relent?

Sure, they're in dire economic straits, but this is the country that sent young people to walk through minefields during the Iran-Iraq war, that lasted 8 years.

In the mean time, Americans are starting to get annoyed at having to pay a bit more at the pump.

Does anyone really think Iran has less longevity than the US? That Iran isn't more than capable of long-term suffering?