r/moderatepolitics Federal worker fired without due process 1d ago

News Article Iran stops negotiations with U.S., vows to 'completely' block Strait of Hormuz: State media

https://www.cnbc.com/2026/06/01/iran-us-negotiations-strait-of-hormuz.html

The article says Iran announced Monday it will cut off all negotiations with the U.S. and move to fully close the Strait of Hormuz, citing Israeli military operations in Lebanon as ceasefire violations. Tehran also threatened to activate the Bab el-Mandeb Strait chokepoint connecting the Red Sea to the Gulf of Aden. Oil prices jumped over 7 percent on the news.

The breakdown comes just days after Trump convened a Situation Room meeting to decide on a deal but left without making a decision. Trump posted on May 23 that a peace deal was "largely negotiated" and "Final aspects and details of the Deal are currently being discussed, and will be announced shortly." Both sides launched new attacks in the following days, and Israel escalated in Lebanon with Netanyahu ordering strikes on Hezbollah-controlled Beirut suburbs. Iran's foreign minister said the ceasefire applies to all fronts including Lebanon, and violations on one front constitute violations on all.

The Strait of Hormuz has been effectively choked off since the war began on February 28, with ship traffic far below the prewar level of 100+ vessels per day. About a fifth of global oil supplies passed through the strait before the conflict. Gas prices had come down some in recent weeks on deal optimism, but that appears to be evaporating. There are also concerns Iran could impose a tolling system on ships transiting the strait.

Trump posted on Truth Social that Iran "really wants to make a deal" and told critics to "just sit back and relax, it will all work out well in the end. It always does!"

If Iran really wants to make a deal why are they walking away form negotiations? If the US is winning this war, why are we suing for peace?

The answer is because Iran's strategy is working. Our president and the "secretary of war" who was confirmed by one vote are not reliable sources of information.

They have been preparing for this war for decades and they know how to win it. Choking off a fifth of global oil supply has driven U.S. gas prices up 50%, cratered Trump's approval ratings, and Republicans are openly panicking about the midterms. They know the situation trump has created is FUBAR and they know they're cooked in november. Iran doesn't need to win on the battlefield. They just need to hold out and make the economic pain unsustainable until the administration comes to terms.

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u/Sunflorahh 1d ago

I saw a reel the other day from David Frum (Dubya's speechwriter). He said simply, the presidency is too big a job for Trump.

Just what a disaster this admin has been. Domestic policy, foreign policy, everything in between. The only constituency he cares about is the wealthy.

I don't know how supporters continue to justify and support his actions. Genuinely, I want to know their rationale. Are the wrinkles in their brain that different from mine?

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u/5ilver8ullet 1d ago

I don't know how supporters continue to justify and support his actions. Genuinely, I want to know their rationale.

As a supporter, I regard Trump's domestic policy as a mixed bag of policies I like (secure borders, tax cuts, dismantling of DEI) and policies I don't like (tariffs, EOs interfering with the free market, pardons for rioters). I give him a B-.

Regarding Trump's foreign policy, however, there's really not a lot to dislike, in my view. Trump has been phenomenal when it comes to successfully wielding the hegemonic power of both the US military and its economy. The so-called "Donroe" Doctrine is aimed at ensuring our half of the globe does what's in the best interest of the US (military action with Mexico and Central/South American countries against drug cartels, deposing Maduro, pressuring Cuba to cut ties with former/current communist states). And the Middle East has been completely transformed, starting in Trump's first term. Iran, once thought of as the top regional power, has now been laid low by US/Israeli military forces, its economy wrecked, its terrorist proxies running for the hills or disbanded completely. Sunni states are integrating with Israel via the Abraham Accords. A+.

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u/Xanto97 Elephant and the Rider 23h ago edited 23h ago

I appreciate your answer, but I think even being optimistic, he’s had a lot of foreign policy issues that have hurt us.

First, even for the positives you listed - did Deposing Maduro even help us? Has life improved for Venezuela? Are our interests protected? Or did we just do this for oil? Genuine question. Regarding Cuba, If anything we’ve made them more dependent on communist states. they haven’t been a threat for decades, yet trump has ramped up the trade embargoes. And now we’re continuing to ruin life for them via a blockade. Russia is even trying to break our blockade to provide them oil. I’m not sure how this helps us, or them.

Tariffs is foreign policy, and us declaring economic war on the world certainly pissed off a lot of our allies. It would be good if it was worth it for us, but so far it doesn’t seem to be.

Destroying USAID is debatable but I think will overall backfire on us. Threatening to invade our neighbors and allies (Canada and Greenland) understandably pissed them off. Potentially staging an invasion of Cuba, starting this war with no solid plan to get out.

As a detractor, I will admit that he had some foreign policy wins in term 1 , but I haven’t seen many this year.

I certainly don’t think he deserves an A+. Mixed bag at most.