r/moderatepolitics Federal worker fired without due process 1d ago

News Article Iran stops negotiations with U.S., vows to 'completely' block Strait of Hormuz: State media

https://www.cnbc.com/2026/06/01/iran-us-negotiations-strait-of-hormuz.html

The article says Iran announced Monday it will cut off all negotiations with the U.S. and move to fully close the Strait of Hormuz, citing Israeli military operations in Lebanon as ceasefire violations. Tehran also threatened to activate the Bab el-Mandeb Strait chokepoint connecting the Red Sea to the Gulf of Aden. Oil prices jumped over 7 percent on the news.

The breakdown comes just days after Trump convened a Situation Room meeting to decide on a deal but left without making a decision. Trump posted on May 23 that a peace deal was "largely negotiated" and "Final aspects and details of the Deal are currently being discussed, and will be announced shortly." Both sides launched new attacks in the following days, and Israel escalated in Lebanon with Netanyahu ordering strikes on Hezbollah-controlled Beirut suburbs. Iran's foreign minister said the ceasefire applies to all fronts including Lebanon, and violations on one front constitute violations on all.

The Strait of Hormuz has been effectively choked off since the war began on February 28, with ship traffic far below the prewar level of 100+ vessels per day. About a fifth of global oil supplies passed through the strait before the conflict. Gas prices had come down some in recent weeks on deal optimism, but that appears to be evaporating. There are also concerns Iran could impose a tolling system on ships transiting the strait.

Trump posted on Truth Social that Iran "really wants to make a deal" and told critics to "just sit back and relax, it will all work out well in the end. It always does!"

If Iran really wants to make a deal why are they walking away form negotiations? If the US is winning this war, why are we suing for peace?

The answer is because Iran's strategy is working. Our president and the "secretary of war" who was confirmed by one vote are not reliable sources of information.

They have been preparing for this war for decades and they know how to win it. Choking off a fifth of global oil supply has driven U.S. gas prices up 50%, cratered Trump's approval ratings, and Republicans are openly panicking about the midterms. They know the situation trump has created is FUBAR and they know they're cooked in november. Iran doesn't need to win on the battlefield. They just need to hold out and make the economic pain unsustainable until the administration comes to terms.

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u/Sunflorahh 1d ago

I saw a reel the other day from David Frum (Dubya's speechwriter). He said simply, the presidency is too big a job for Trump.

Just what a disaster this admin has been. Domestic policy, foreign policy, everything in between. The only constituency he cares about is the wealthy.

I don't know how supporters continue to justify and support his actions. Genuinely, I want to know their rationale. Are the wrinkles in their brain that different from mine?

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u/[deleted] 1d ago edited 1d ago

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u/albertnormandy 1d ago

Most voters care about guns, abortion, and LGBTQ issues. Everything else is a sideshow to them. They will defend their team to the death as long as they stay consistent with those three things. 

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u/nycbetches 1d ago

I don’t think this is true. I think most voters care about the economy the most. The price of things/inflation/jobs, to be precise, and to a lesser extent, the stock market. 

There are definitely voters out there that care most about guns, abortion or LGBTQ issues, but they are the minority. 

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u/_United_ still sane, unfortunately 1d ago edited 1d ago

people will vote for anyone for any reason. after reading countless "We Interviewed These Voters" articles from major publications, it is simply impossible not to conclude that many people are vibes-based voters.

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u/nycbetches 1d ago

Yeah people are definitely vibes based voters, and the vibes are that Republicans are better for the economy. I happen to believe it’s not true, but those are the vibes, I guess.

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u/KentuckyFriedChingon Militant Centrist 1d ago

They may say they care more about the economy. And maybe that's true. But when presented with undeniable evidence that Trump has made multiple decisions that have been terrible for the U.S. economy, they immediately bury their heads in the sand and handwave it away because either "We have to endure some pain for even greater gain down the road" or (the classic) "Biden Was Worse".

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u/nycbetches 1d ago

Well, yes, I do not think many people who claim to care most about the economy actually understand the economy. But I don’t think it’s malevolent, I think they actually, truly don’t understand. And they do not trust non-Fox News sources, so they don’t believe the “undeniable evidence” you’re talking about . Anything is deniable if you’re motivated enough.

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u/Wonderful_Cookie_572 1d ago

See there's a basic misunderstanding with what the word "economy" means when it comes to the electorate. Voters don't care about the big macro numbers anymore. They care about their ability to buy shit. Nothing more, nothing less. If that's getting easier then they think the economy is good. If it's getting harder then it's bad. What the macro lines do is irrelevant.

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u/whyneedaname77 1d ago

Maybe but those single issue voters are solidly republican.

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u/albertnormandy 1d ago

What people say and what they actually do are two different things. Jimbo may grumble about gas prices and whatnot, but he also saw the Democratic candidate say something boneheaded in a clip that got repeated on Fox News, so when he goes to the polls and is confronted with either R or D we all know how he will vote. 

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u/okyesterday927 22h ago

This is my experience. The obsession with California, Crockett, Ilhan, Hochul, Waltz, etc… I can’t vote for these people/places, I do not care to that extent. I just ignore the politics talk now to avoid hearing some long rant about someone that has nothing to do with me & likely not even completely true.

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u/vladastine 20h ago

Looking at social media this is 100% true. They truly don't care about anything else. And if it hurts women even better. I just don't see anything breaking this. I know the economy is supposed to be king, but they're also in full the economy is great mode.

I don't know what to believe any more. What even is reality?

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u/polchiki 17h ago

Federalism is the answer. Small government means we worry about our own local school and fire districts, roads we drive on every day, the jobs, industry, recreation, and pollution in our own state and counties.

Headline news in my town is our local clinic in the red, location for the central sewer system coming to town for the first time in history, drama in the volunteer fire district, and summer market / camp promotions. We’d all be way happier and more productive if we knew and tended to our own local headlines above all else.