Iran stops negotiations with U.S., vows to 'completely' block Strait of Hormuz: State media

[u/Agitated_Pudding7259]

https://www.cnbc.com/2026/06/01/iran-us-negotiations-strait-of-hormuz.html

The article says Iran announced Monday it will cut off all negotiations with the U.S. and move to fully close the Strait of Hormuz, citing Israeli military operations in Lebanon as ceasefire violations. Tehran also threatened to activate the Bab el-Mandeb Strait chokepoint connecting the Red Sea to the Gulf of Aden. Oil prices jumped over 7 percent on the news.

The breakdown comes just days after Trump convened a Situation Room meeting to decide on a deal but left without making a decision. Trump posted on May 23 that a peace deal was "largely negotiated" and "Final aspects and details of the Deal are currently being discussed, and will be announced shortly." Both sides launched new attacks in the following days, and Israel escalated in Lebanon with Netanyahu ordering strikes on Hezbollah-controlled Beirut suburbs. Iran's foreign minister said the ceasefire applies to all fronts including Lebanon, and violations on one front constitute violations on all.

The Strait of Hormuz has been effectively choked off since the war began on February 28, with ship traffic far below the prewar level of 100+ vessels per day. About a fifth of global oil supplies passed through the strait before the conflict. Gas prices had come down some in recent weeks on deal optimism, but that appears to be evaporating. There are also concerns Iran could impose a tolling system on ships transiting the strait.

Trump posted on Truth Social that Iran "really wants to make a deal" and told critics to "just sit back and relax, it will all work out well in the end. It always does!"

If Iran really wants to make a deal why are they walking away form negotiations? If the US is winning this war, why are we suing for peace?

The answer is because Iran's strategy is working. Our president and the "secretary of war" who was confirmed by one vote are not reliable sources of information.

They have been preparing for this war for decades and they know how to win it. Choking off a fifth of global oil supply has driven U.S. gas prices up 50%, cratered Trump's approval ratings, and Republicans are openly panicking about the midterms. They know the situation trump has created is FUBAR and they know they're cooked in november. Iran doesn't need to win on the battlefield. They just need to hold out and make the economic pain unsustainable until the administration comes to terms.

[u/throwforthefences]

Man I'm not sure there's anything Trump could've done to fuck us harder than what he's done in Iran. The US military undoubtedly could force the Strait open, but the actions needed to do so (such as a ground incursion into Iran or leading convoys through the strait) would risk much higher casualties than Americans are willing to accept, given that his administration didn't even try to build support for it amongst Americans or Congress before going in. OTOH continued closure of the Strait is gonna further increase gas prices, which are already creating significant strain throughout the US and global economies especially after the economic stresses created by Trump’s tariff chaos last year.

The vast majority of people didn't want this, even those who voted for him, but now we're stuck on this ride with Trump to whatever end comes. Shit.

[u/jason_sation → u/throwforthefences]

The US already lost 13 service members because of Operation Epic Fury. Voters were upset over the 3 service members lost when the US pulled out of Afghanistan and Biden’s poll numbers immediately dipped. I’ve heard very little about the 13, which to me means that media coverage is being downplayed on the casualties of the war thus far. We know now that the US has also downplayed damage to its own military bases link to bbc article . I think the US really doesn’t want more casualties at all costs. I really expected Trump to call it a win and walk away by now.

[u/throwforthefences → u/jason_sation]

Trump can't just walk away because that would require the US essentially capitulating to Iran's demands and there's no way for even the most MAGA-brained podcaster to spin that positively. Even if we end our blockade of Iran and stop attacking them, their demands for opening the Strait would still include letting them charge a toll for passage, removing our sanctions on their oil, and pulling our forces out of the various bases we have in the Middle East. It'd be a strategic disaster for America and would, at the very least, cause a revolt amongst Congressional Conservatives.

[u/Wonderful_Cookie_572 → u/throwforthefences]

It really makes me wonder what Israel has on Trump to get him to completely destroy his legacy this way. Because legacy is everything to Trump and now his legacy is going to be that of one of the worst Presidents we ever had.

[u/HavingNuclear → u/Wonderful_Cookie_572]

You have to remember that Trump's view of the legacy he's creating right now is not objective. He's getting all of his information from loyalists, people who are trying to manipulate him, and right wing news. That crafts a very different version of these events and for someone like Trump who - let's just say, thinks very highly of himself - things can still be looking pretty rosy.

[u/throwforthefences → u/Wonderful_Cookie_572]

I don't think Israel has anything on Trump, I think Netanyahu just knew how to manipulate him into starting the war. Everyone knew Trump wanted to get rid of Iran and that he was riding high off capturing Maduro, so he just had to come in with a plan that made it sound like a quick in-and-out, 20 minute adventure that was plausible enough to convince Trump. Throw in plenty of 'this will make you the greatest president ever' and that's probably all it took for Trump to trust Netanyahu over our own intelligence agencies. Frankly, I think he knew whatever plan he brought to Trump wouldn't work, but also that once the US started the war, there'd be few acceptable options for leaving that didn't end with regime change or something close to it.

[u/jason_sation → u/throwforthefences]

I think, in Trump’s mind he’s already won because he has eliminated everyone who was plotting to assassinate him for the past 5ish years. I think you are right and this was war was partially started because of personal grievances.

[u/jason_sation → u/Wonderful_Cookie_572]

If Trump hears this, he’s going to attack Israel.

[u/Wonderful_Cookie_572 → u/jason_sation]

I honestly would not be surprised if that ends up happening, or at least if he tries it and gets refused by the generals, before this is all over. Trump is legendarily vindictive, if he really comes to understand just how badly Israel has fucked his legacy I could 100% see him deciding to attack in retaliation.

[u/tom_snout → u/throwforthefences]

Exactly. And let’s add on to all that the ongoing and worsening fertilizer shortages that are a grim counterpart to the closure of the strait. Sharply higher food prices domestically and food crises in the third world are inbound and show every sign of being ugly ugly ugly. What a legacy for this clown car of administration.