r/lebanon • u/Residual-Heat • Apr 08 '26

Vent / Rant Everyone's a winner (except Lebanon)

Depending on who you ask everyone is a winner. Israel and USA say they won, Iran and Hezbollah will claim victory.

Lebanon is left with 1500+ dead civilians, nearly a million refugees, and occupied lands in the south.

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u/theStrategist37 Apr 08 '26

Except chances are Hezb declares divine victory, shoots rockets into Israel next time there is a conflict not involving Lebanon, and chances are if that happens next round will be worse not better. Unless Lebanon somehow has will to disarm Hezb after Israeli withdrawl (IF withdrawl happens , am working with your premise here), which I don't see, based on how it usually goes whenever Israel leaves.

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u/oussamawd Apr 08 '26

If Iran secures a peace with the US that involves Lebanon, why would Hezbollah break it? Do we say Hezbollah works for Iran when it suits us and then we say Hezbollah is independent from Iran to support your theory?

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u/theStrategist37 Apr 08 '26

As a way to put pressure on Israel when there is trouble on another front without endangering Iran itself. Prime example is October 8th 2023. Iran could've gotten involved themselves, but chose not to, less risk that way.

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u/lxXLightXxl Apr 08 '26

If Iran does in fact reach a deal with the US, they will no longer bother with israel. Iranian axis is over. I doubt they will even continue supporting Hezbollah once a deal is reached.