r/lebanon • u/Residual-Heat • Apr 08 '26

Vent / Rant Everyone's a winner (except Lebanon)

Depending on who you ask everyone is a winner. Israel and USA say they won, Iran and Hezbollah will claim victory.

Lebanon is left with 1500+ dead civilians, nearly a million refugees, and occupied lands in the south.

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u/theStrategist37 Apr 08 '26

Won -- if Israel withdraws, do you think Hezb will disarm? Or will it claim it push Israel out, kinda in repeat of 2000. And if that happens, what happens next time Iran's interests (doesn't have to involve Iran itself, can be one of their allies) is threatened?

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u/[deleted] Apr 08 '26

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u/theStrategist37 Apr 08 '26

Regarding Israel wanting resources, from Israeli spaces I read (yes I read those too, I like to be educated on what's going on), vast majority of discussion was how to stop rocket threat from Lebanon, resources pretty much never entered it. I'm fairly sure if it was just resourced the don't-send-our-soldiers-to-die camp would easily win over we-want-land camp. Posts that get echoed here (and yes, there are those in Israel who want Lebanese land) are very not representative. Jordan is also very weak, yet since peace deal, they had some troubles with Israel but nothing about land. Same with Egypt since their peace deal -- Egypt is stronger though, so Jordan is a better comparison.

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u/[deleted] Apr 08 '26 edited Apr 08 '26

[deleted]

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u/theStrategist37 Apr 08 '26

No, according to Israel-Jordan peace treaty, West Bank is not Jordan. Look at treaty signed.

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u/AccomplishedSoft1350 Apr 08 '26

We have no proof of this except some extremist Israel politicians. What we do have proof of is every major conflicts seems to be precipitated by Hezb doing something stupid on order from Iran.

And we do have proof of Egypt and Jordan.

So I'd rather take a leap of faith rather than live endless cycle of war with Israel.