r/lebanon • u/Residual-Heat • Apr 08 '26

Vent / Rant Everyone's a winner (except Lebanon)

Depending on who you ask everyone is a winner. Israel and USA say they won, Iran and Hezbollah will claim victory.

Lebanon is left with 1500+ dead civilians, nearly a million refugees, and occupied lands in the south.

131 Upvotes

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39

u/Pz_V Hommos Apr 08 '26

Lets be real, Iran and Hzb won this one.

Iran didnt ask for a ceasefire, it was the US who drafted a declaration with Pakistan to save face.

Iran was ready and the US came out as the ones that chickened out

Mabrouk lal moumena3a w ansaron.

16

u/Successful_Brush6502 Apr 08 '26

We got a statement from you saying momena3a won before GTA 6. I cant believe it.

6

u/Pz_V Hommos Apr 08 '26

Im a realist, I dont live in Lalaland.

And nice one with the GTA6 ref.

5

u/Successful_Brush6502 Apr 08 '26

Lol fair point, let’s wait and see how this will all play out though. And at the end let’s hope this ceasefire has a positive impact on Lebanon.

1

u/Pz_V Hommos Apr 08 '26

I just see 2 outcomes : the status quo remains (Hzb keeps it weapons) and we will see limited wars with Israel every couple of years (most likely outcome) or full on war again until Hzb is no more or Israel is defeated hard in Lebanon.

The second outcome is likely if nothing comes out of the talks between the 2 sides, but I firmly believe the 1st outcome is the most likely.

3

u/AccomplishedSoft1350 Apr 08 '26

Here the problem with scenario 1.

Israel keeps developing better and better weapons. Or buys or gets them from America.

The same is not happening for us.

And it's worse than 2023 because Iran has nothing to give anymore. And most of the Syria smuggling route is gone.

So unless Hezb starts developing super powers, future wars will be Hezb launching backyard rockets that blow up a few ACs and Lebanon getting mowed down by ever bigger bombs.

However Hezbot scream they won... How many Lebanese lives were lost, property damaged or destroyed, people displaced, etc. Vs. Israel? However Hezbots want to spin this, we utterly lost

4

u/Pz_V Hommos Apr 08 '26

Lebanon always loses, but Hzb won.

Hzb isnt destroyed and Iran neither. Hzb will keep its dominance internally unless an external actors destroys it fully, which I doubt will happen hence scenario 1.

2

u/AccomplishedSoft1350 Apr 08 '26

I'm agreeing with you to extent. So long as Hezb is here, we will be in constant cycle of war with an ever more powerful Israel.

We as a country need Hezb gone. Or we condemn ourselves and our children to eternity of being mowed down for the interest of airwn. I don't understand why even Hezbots want that.

2

u/Pz_V Hommos Apr 08 '26

Yes, as long as Hzb is in Lebanon, the country will keep getting worst.

Hzbos benefit financially from Hzb. No taxes on imports is an example, and they dominate the country, why would they give away their power?

Theres also their ideology that keeps them in line.

11

u/lmaoler69 Apr 08 '26

i dont care I just want peace and get to be a grownup for once not war or virus or economical collapse. e5er hsme meen byerb7 as long as i can live in peace and build my life

4

u/Pz_V Hommos Apr 08 '26

As long as we have Aoun in power our fate is tied to Iran.