r/Sino • u/violentviolinz • 2d ago
news-military BBC - Iran attacks damage 20 US military sites since start of war, satellite images show: damage to THAAD, refuelling aircraft and radars (U.S. had strategic depth from Iran border to Israel and still couldn't protect bases close to Iran. Far less on China periphery, but U.S. expects better result?)
Iran has damaged 20 US military sites since the start of the war, satellite images and videos analysed by BBC Verify show, suggesting the attacks are more extensive than publicly acknowledged.
Iran has targeted key facilities across eight countries in the Middle East since the end of February, causing millions of dollars of damage to state-of the-art air defence systems, refuelling aircraft and radars.
The US has sought to limit satellite analysis of the conflict by requesting Planet, a major provider, to impose an "indefinite" restriction on new images of Iran and most of the Middle East. The company justified the move, saying that it wanted to ensure its images were not used "by adversarial actors to target allied and Nato-partner personnel and civilians".
BBC Verify has used satellite imagery from other international providers combined with older images from Planet to track the damage caused by Iranian attacks. The facilities are in Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates (UAE), Qatar, Kuwait, Iraq, Jordan, Bahrain and Oman. The actual figure could be higher, with some analysts placing the number of bases hit as high as 28.
Among the valuable hardware damaged were three state-of-the-art anti-ballistic missile batteries systems at the Al Ruwais and Al Sader airbases in the UAE and Muwaffaq Salti Airbase in Jordan.
The US is only known to operate eight of the Terminal High Altitude Area Defense (THAAD) batteries, which are deployed at bases around the globe and cost around $1bn (£766m) to manufacture. Each battery needs a crew of about 100 troops to operate it while the interceptors it fires cost around $12.7m per round.
Vice-Admiral Mark Mellett, the ex-head of the Irish Defence Forces, told BBC Verify that the batteries are at the core of a "highly complex" regional defence network that cannot be "quickly or easily replaced".
Iranian strikes have also heavily hit US refuelling and surveillance aircraft at Prince Sultan Airbase in Saudi Arabia, expert analysis of satellite images show, with damaged aircraft and smoking craters clearly visible.
One aircraft was identified by a MAIAR analyst as an E-3 Sentry surveillance plane. US media reported that it could cost up to $700m to replace.
Putting a launcher and radar on a tiny island the size of a park isn't viable for actual conflict. That park is going to get hit by a hundred drones. Where's the launcher supposed to shoot and scoot to, how and where are replacements coming. Forget Ukraine. There's around 1,000km distance of US ally/bases territory U.S. could use from the border of Israel right up to the border of Iran.
For comparison, the width of the Korean peninsula on average is 300km and is around the same distance from the Chinese coastline. People have crossed the Yellow Sea on jet skis before.
Where is the U.S. supposed to get its strategic depth in a conflict off the Chinese coastline and how far away is it? Okinawa island is 1/10 the size of Qatar. Kyushu is only the size of Taiwan/US state of Maryland and over 1,000 km away. All of China would be strategic depth starting from right next to the conflict area. That's around 5,000km eastern coast and 5,000km to the west from that coast.
Both Ukraine and Iran conflicts continue to affirm everything is going to get hit and hit often, so strategic depth and logistics/supply lines still dominate modern warfare.
If you believe conflict with America is inevitable, a small island off the entire Chinese coast is exactly where the PLA would want it. Iran neutralised military threats near its territory without sending a single soldier out. China has a far larger arsenal and the threats are in very localized areas. The same for blockades, Iran can hold out for a long time. China has far more non Malacca options than US Asian allies, Russia is literally right there and the numerous over land Central Asian routes. There's also no selective blockades for Hormuz or Malacca, sooner or later it is all shutdown or all open.

